0xd99c8d0d57d431771628b6df9efa9bc9a06ce859
0xd99c8d0d57d431771628b6df9efa9bc9a06ce859
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
275 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.28
- NO
Will Manchester City beat Brentford?
239 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Brentford beat Manchester City?
184 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.18
- NO
Will Fulham vs. West Ham end in a draw?
113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- NO
Will game 5 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?
63 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
54 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.04Dec 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$0.08Dec 12, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?$0.23Dec 9, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$0.07Dec 8, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.04Dec 7, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?$0.23Dec 7, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.09Dec 4, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.24Dec 4, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?$0.05Dec 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$0.07Dec 3, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.10Dec 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan be the tipping point state?$0.08Nov 30, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill game 5 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?$0.06Nov 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?$0.05Nov 30, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 140,000,000-145,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.24Nov 30, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.09Nov 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.10Nov 29, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.14Oct 18, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden wins the Popular Vote?$0.28Oct 18, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?$0.12Sep 24, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $0.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".