Velvety-Mantua
0xd9a21d3bf0299c8c5d4edb29122ee177481f2b50
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.13
Total PnL
$-23.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 13.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.13
$-1.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
18155 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-9.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
7153 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
7115 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
5060 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
3711 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2577 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
97 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-48.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$0.00Mar 13, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.37Mar 13, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$9.14Mar 13, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$9.00Feb 2, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.03Feb 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opensea launch a token by December 31? $1.05Feb 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.06Feb 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.10Feb 2, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$3.09Feb 2, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 7, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Dec 15, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 6, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opensea launch a token by December 31? $1.00Nov 29, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$3.00Nov 24, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$27.00Nov 19, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$30.00Nov 19, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$10.50Nov 19, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$3.00Nov 19, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$15.00Nov 19, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 18, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$37.00Nov 19, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $911.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".