Insubstantial-Sparrow
0xd9a3c37e0d81a3daf741174cc2056f2ab43d1a11
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-3.46
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
CF América vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Score
861 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-420.00
- OVER
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
563 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-356.03
- OVER
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5
480 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-196.45
- UNDER
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5
408 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-113.49
- 76ERS
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
349 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-167.35
- NO
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Score
318 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-147.59
- UNDER
Albacete Balompié vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5
297 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-97.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
235 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Celtics
225 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
210 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$7.56Apr 30, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.04Apr 30, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.07Apr 30, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.07Apr 30, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.06Apr 30, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.06Apr 30, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.06Apr 30, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.07Apr 30, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.07Apr 30, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.06Apr 30, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.