Disguised-Mini
0xd9a6914af335d5d0527b14acc1fadb99f86d6cc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NEBRASKA OMAHA
Nebraska Omaha vs. St. John's
650 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-45.53
- YES
Will "Wicked" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?
467 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Honda and Nissan merger announced before February?
446 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
367 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
236 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNebraska Omaha vs. St. John's$45.53Mar 21, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeremy Strong win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$25.00Feb 23, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?$20.00Feb 23, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonda and Nissan merger announced before February?$6.50Jan 9, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?$12.00Jan 6, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHonda and Nissan merger announced before February?$11.00Jan 6, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $20.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.