Motionless-Feedback
0xd9b5455d1ee240ce157787b87ff2e0a60f639db1
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$26.74
Total PnL
$-33.1K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
21%
67 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
160 shares @ 1.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$18.40
$16.60
- YES
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
160 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.84
$0.04
- YES
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
160 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.36
$-0.44
- YES
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
169 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.10
$-0.22
- YES
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
169 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.59
$-0.73
- YES
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
169 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.42
$-0.90
- YES
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
169 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.42
$-0.90
- YES
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
169 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.42
$-0.90
- YES
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
272 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$0.41
$-8.99
- YES
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
169 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.34
$-0.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill someone else record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 15, 01:38 UTC
- REWARD$4.45Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$61.76Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?$0.09Jul 5, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$0.01Jul 5, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$0.01Jul 5, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Pickens play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?$0.01Jul 4, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Della Maddalena be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?$0.01Jul 4, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dricus Du Plessis be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?$0.01Jul 4, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner win more than 90% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?$0.04Jul 4, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Washington Nationals win the 2026 NL East title?$0.08Jul 4, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$0.01Jul 2, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lance Stroll win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$0.01Jul 2, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.15Jul 2, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 1, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00Jul 1, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 1, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on June 20?$0.00Jul 1, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 67 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
67 closed markets, 21% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 14:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 01:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 67 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.