Frail-Reach
0xd9cc4979810bc7a800078d687855a4821fd9fdde
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 20?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on December 29?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 19?
371 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on December 8?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?
263 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 20-26?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$82.08Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$82.00Jun 4, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?$2.57Jun 4, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$85.09May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$85.00May 25, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$85.08May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$85.00May 22, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$84.42May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$84.02May 19, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$46.05May 12, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$38.04May 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$38.00May 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?$3.21May 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$46.00May 10, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$87.09May 10, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$87.01May 6, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?$87.09May 6, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?$87.01May 3, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.00May 3, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$87.17May 3, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $56.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".