Tall-Ninja
0xd9cda251260ed8f19eb97d409f9442d2f934e67e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on November 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 25?
16 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 25?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 10?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will CBS Sports App: Scores & News be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$2.47Apr 22, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 25?$3.02Apr 22, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.03Apr 22, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$3.06Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.09Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$3.12Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 25?$3.14Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$3.19Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3.70Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 25?$5.05Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.07Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$8.02Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$15.06Apr 22, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 25?$8.00Mar 25, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$15.00Mar 25, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$2.00Mar 25, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$3.00Mar 25, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3.00Mar 25, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 25, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 25, 08:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.