Firm-Post
0xd9cf1305afc8c6f83f9975cd1b7dad11c9829cbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$16.09
Total PnL
$-7.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.42
$5.42
- MAYWEATHER
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?$1.00Mar 15, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 7?$5.00Mar 5, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$5.00Mar 5, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$5.00Mar 5, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?$5.56Mar 5, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$14.53Mar 5, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$1.00Mar 2, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.07Feb 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$10.00Feb 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Feb 23, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.00Feb 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 22, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 22, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$1.00Feb 22, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?$1.00Feb 22, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.