Glamorous-Snarl
0xd9de43d661e1ddc1a35fcc7372ff2a3fb51fc3aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$95.21
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
1554 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.58
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
661 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?
422 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
408 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
382 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-103.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$12.55Apr 6, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 6, 2AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 2AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - April 6, 2AM ET$2.40Apr 6, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$13.75Apr 6, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Apr 6, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$10.00Apr 6, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$10.00Apr 6, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.00Apr 6, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Apr 6, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$3.27Apr 6, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 6, 2AM ET$0.55Apr 6, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 6, 2AM ET$2.30Apr 6, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$12.26Apr 6, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$34.86Apr 6, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.