Kooky-Polarisation
0xd9ea992d43c7eecbe08d5cadb556dc1964294b6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-53.05
Win rate
11%
92 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
61 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-24.98
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
53 shares @ 91.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-48.71
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
52 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-41.11
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
37 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
35 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
25 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
25 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
25 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
25 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.20
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.11Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.71Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$45.00Jul 12, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.75Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.20Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.40Jul 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.50Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.48Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.10Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.15Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.65Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.82Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.75Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.25Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.72Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.67Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.62Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.62Jul 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.57Jul 12, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$40.00Jul 12, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 92 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
92 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 92 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.