Muted-Bone
0xd9ef05d280e2c9fe9310f9843a5228d1999f0a9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$22.93
Total PnL
$16.59
Realised
$236.38
Win rate
19%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?
20 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.00
$-0.60
- NO
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.93
$5.98
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
4082 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
625 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 58 million or more views on day 4?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a projectile?
375 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.37
- PAKISTAN
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan
138 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?
108 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
102 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?$14.80Aug 15, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?$1.90Aug 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 6?$1.10Aug 14, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?$3.75Aug 14, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?$1.00Aug 13, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$3.22Aug 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?$1.03Aug 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?$2.56Aug 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai or Speed die to an Elder Guardian?$1.03Aug 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?$1.96Aug 12, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 3?$11.99Aug 11, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$1.07Aug 11, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$0.94Aug 11, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$3.65Aug 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$1.04Aug 11, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$2.00Aug 11, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$1.50Aug 11, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 3?$4.04Aug 11, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$1.06Aug 11, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 3?$1.04Aug 11, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
48 closed markets, 19% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.