Affectionate-Hourglass
0xd9efde3e4199ab3cd2748edfd6a12fb832984df2
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-69.84
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 9?
8128 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-999.82
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
3305 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-230.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 9?
2942 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
1953 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-107.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
1863 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
1734 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-148.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
1714 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-56.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1428 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
1244 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1139 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-301.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$230.29Mar 19, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Mar 19, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.12Mar 19, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$61.44Feb 15, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$4.35Feb 15, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$10.00Feb 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.00Feb 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$6.44Feb 15, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.00Feb 15, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$6.00Feb 15, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$4.83Feb 15, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$20.00Feb 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$16.16Feb 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$10.00Feb 15, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$6.92Feb 15, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$6.94Feb 15, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$16.10Feb 15, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.82Feb 15, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.00Feb 15, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 21:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".