Visible-Carriage
0xd9f438174f5cc86ebd3f514940acdc1ce4030817
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.95
Realised
$22.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
1997 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- SIENA SAINTS
Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
702 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
279 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
56 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
47 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?$0.50Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in March 2026?$2.50Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in March 2026?$1.37Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in March 2026?$4.00Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in March 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?$1.25Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?$1.74Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in March 2026?$2.50Mar 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in March 2026?$2.50Mar 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$5.00Mar 5, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?$3.60Mar 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$18.60Mar 3, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in March 2026?$1.75Mar 1, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in March 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in March 2026?$2.00Mar 1, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in March 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?$2.50Mar 1, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?$2.50Mar 1, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in March 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in March 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 01:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 21:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".