Natural-Semester
0xd9f46d6bc4a9e5568ea5a0d76cb209e848e8412a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
2857 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
1825 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1129 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
1045 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
870 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
202 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$5.00Jan 15, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$46.39Jan 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$34.79Jan 14, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$20.00Jan 13, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$100.00Jan 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$7.99Jan 8, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$5.60Jan 8, 01:41 UTC
- REWARD$4.20Jan 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$8.14Jan 7, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$16.28Jan 7, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$5.00Jan 7, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$70.00Jan 7, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$19.77Jan 7, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$12.23Jan 7, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$3.76Jan 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$0.94Jan 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$5.00Jan 6, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$200.00Jan 6, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2PM ET$1.92Jan 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$350.00Jan 6, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $55.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.