Known-Breakthrough
0xd9f85a841594e58a7e70dc1c588312eb11fc2139
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-636.63
Win rate
14%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
435 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-282.10
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?
209 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-74.73
- NO
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?
177 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-82.31
- NO
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?
161 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-43.18
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
150 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-106.50
- UNDER
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
111 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?
110 shares @ 89.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-98.33
- NO
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
108 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-41.51
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?
104 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- NO
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?
103 shares @ 90.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-92.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 7?$3.13Jun 7, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 6?$11.76Jun 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 6?$9.67Jun 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 6?$34.44Jun 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6?$22.26Jun 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?$33.96Jun 7, 06:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.03Jun 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?$2.34Jun 6, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?$2.00Jun 6, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?$0.00Jun 6, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?$0.48Jun 6, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?$1.69Jun 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?$1.51Jun 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?$1.75Jun 6, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?$1.30Jun 6, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?$0.08Jun 6, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?$0.78Jun 6, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 7?$3.02Jun 6, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 7?$1.30Jun 6, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 6?$11.61Jun 6, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 23:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.