Known-Dream-Fourths
0xd9f85ec944a0f1740a650521d59439d20d442c4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$40.60
Total PnL
$-8.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-06-06?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.00
$2.35
- YES
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-06-06?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.00
$2.45
- YES
Will Trump say "Percent" 13+ times during Wisconsin events?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- YES
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-06-06?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$5.00
$2.20
- YES
Will Apple announce a standalone Siri app during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$3.63
$1.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.82
$0.02
- NO
Will "Arthur Miller's beath of a Salesman" win Best Revival of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?
6 shares @ 42.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.74
$0.21
- NO
Will "Shoshana Bean" win Best Featured Actress in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
7 shares @ 37.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.71
$0.17
- NO
Will "Caissie Levy" win Best Leading Actress in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
7 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.43
$-0.07
- NO
Will "Chloe Lamford" win Best Scenic Design of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.40
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Shoshana Bean" win Best Featured Actress in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?$0.68Jun 5, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yokohama FC win on 2026-06-06?$2.80Jun 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-06-06?$2.55Jun 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "André De Shields" win Best Featured Actor in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?$2.90Jun 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tochigi City FC win on 2026-06-06?$2.65Jun 5, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Caissie Levy" win Best Leading Actress in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?$0.60Jun 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple announce a standalone Siri app during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$2.10Jun 5, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jeff Mahshie" win Best Costume Design of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$3.05Jun 5, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Corn" during Wisconsin events?$2.75Jun 5, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Arthur Miller's beath of a Salesman" win Best Revival of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$2.53Jun 5, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Swing State" during Wisconsin events?$2.80Jun 5, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Chloe Lamford" win Best Scenic Design of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?$3.00Jun 5, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 5?$2.74Jun 5, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?$3.03Jun 5, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?$3.10Jun 5, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?$2.89Jun 5, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Percent" 13+ times during Wisconsin events?$2.80Jun 5, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Caissie Levy" win Best Leading Actress in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?$1.90Jun 5, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Shoshana Bean" win Best Featured Actress in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?$1.85Jun 5, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 5?$2.40Jun 5, 11:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.