Insubstantial-Spirit
0xda01db700bcf2dbee13d9f7a4604a6025c141bca
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$60.42
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$130.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
24170 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.42
$-939.55
- YES
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
3565 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-94.87
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
2312 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
2001 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.83
- YES
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
1180 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.51
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
632 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.93
- YES
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
343 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$527.05May 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$246.11May 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$264.89May 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$508.72Apr 2, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$118.00Apr 2, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$402.86Apr 2, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$1.3KFeb 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$85.73Dec 18, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$1.25Nov 21, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$142.78Nov 21, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?$58.79Nov 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$71.60Nov 20, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$2.40Nov 20, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$6.00Nov 20, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$6.00Nov 20, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$100.00Nov 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$6.00Nov 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$6.00Nov 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$6.00Nov 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$6.00Nov 20, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $87.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".