Fond-Retention
0xda05e2f56b91ec9113c14fabdd990a2168b2b523
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$28.30
Total PnL
$-227.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?
28 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$28.30
$13.30
- YES
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-08?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Cagliari win on 2025-11-08?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Torino win on 2025-11-08?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-08?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?
26 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?$2.22Dec 14, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?$15.00Dec 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?$15.00Dec 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$16.55Dec 14, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.86Dec 9, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $27.81Dec 9, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?$0.00Dec 1, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $35.26Dec 1, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?$35.26Dec 1, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$15.98Nov 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?$10.00Nov 30, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?$25.98Nov 29, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$20.06Nov 25, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?$20.06Nov 25, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?$22.74Nov 24, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?$20.00Nov 24, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?$10.06Nov 24, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?$14.49Nov 24, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-23?$18.18Nov 24, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?$11.42Nov 23, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $13.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".