Tall-Significance
0xda061ea115ad6d49d74c84e70bd0241c1cba558b
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$884.97
Total PnL
$-75.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
61 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$60.77
$0.77
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?
61 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$60.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?
61 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$60.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2?
60 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$60.27
$0.27
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
61 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$60.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 27-August 2?
60 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$60.21
$0.21
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
61 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$60.15
$0.15
- NO
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?
60 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$60.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 2?
60 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$59.73
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 2?$60.02Aug 2, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$60.00Aug 2, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Leeds United?$60.01Aug 2, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?$60.24Aug 2, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 1?$60.24Aug 2, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1?$60.24Aug 2, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Almagro vs. CA Ferrocarril Midland end in a draw?$60.02Aug 1, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$60.30Aug 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 1?$60.02Aug 1, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner$60.66Aug 1, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$60.03Aug 1, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?$60.00Aug 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$60.54Aug 1, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 July 27-August 2?$60.02Aug 1, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?$60.30Aug 1, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?$60.24Aug 1, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner$60.03Aug 1, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 1?$60.02Aug 1, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs$60.03Aug 1, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?$60.01Aug 1, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $60.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 09:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.