Plain-Armor
0xda07719bd1fc8594b82031f196ea5139740c62a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$750.36
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$3.56
Win rate
21%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 30?
150 shares @ 30.6¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$90.15
$44.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 30?
256 shares @ 47.2¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$89.49
$-31.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?
151 shares @ 39.8¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$86.01
$26.01
- FEDERICO AGUSTIN GOMEZ
Bonn: Samuele Pieri vs Federico Agustin Gomez
64 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$64.40
$12.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$48.13
$-1.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30?
61 shares @ 76.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$47.38
$0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 30?
140 shares @ 43.1¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$46.29
$-14.13
- NORBERT GOMBOS
Liberec: Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert Gombos
60 shares @ 61.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$41.39
$4.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?
82 shares @ 37.3¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$30.60
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 31?
65 shares @ 40.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$26.27
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$2.34Jul 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.54Jul 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.15Jul 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSamsun: Semen Pankin vs Manoj Dhamne Manas$2.05Jul 30, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 30?$0.00Jul 30, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.13Jul 30, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberec: Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert Gombos$5.33Jul 30, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 30?$2.63Jul 30, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.60Jul 30, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.29Jul 30, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.13Jul 30, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 31?$1.05Jul 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 31?$1.06Jul 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 31?$0.57Jul 30, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.02Jul 30, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.60Jul 30, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 30?$2.22Jul 30, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.04Jul 30, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$4.92Jul 30, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 1?$1.02Jul 30, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.