Muddy-Fix
0xda1171f1ab9e9282fbba4a5aa1931a3c35e322b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$681.01
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-332.60
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
1100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$256.29
$3.38
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
660 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$254.10
$3.30
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
1500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$119.25
$14.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?
3000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$42.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
892 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.37
$4.91
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
5890 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-932.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 12?
2043 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
1069 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-82.52
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
1032 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- MISSOURI TIGERS
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?$90.00May 28, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$3.92May 27, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$113.88May 27, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$110.20May 27, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$4.39May 27, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$5.24May 27, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$3.68May 27, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$4.60May 27, 12:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.54May 27, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.20May 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$4.64May 26, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$4.14May 26, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$29.87May 26, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$3.29May 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$35.36May 26, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$17.25May 26, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$51.75May 26, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$5.75May 26, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$12.19May 26, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$33.82May 26, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $22.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 01:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".