Outstanding-Pagan
0xda23ae038de85dcb3b927f62ce03cc69c74d89ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$80.26
Total PnL
$-197.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$17.86
$7.86
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$7.95
$-2.04
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$7.67
$-2.33
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?
525 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
237 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-41.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.25May 28, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev$10.29May 24, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$139.69May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$39.46May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.22May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$101.15May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.39Apr 30, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-28?$1.00Apr 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?$10.00Apr 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?$10.00Apr 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$4.00Apr 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Apr 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$5.76Apr 7, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.