Sizzling-Galoshes
0xda23c781e841d7e616d5497fe363895a2ec2df95
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$5.04
Total PnL
$-17.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 31, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.02Jan 31, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$2.01Dec 26, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$14.70Dec 11, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$15.00Dec 11, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$14.90Dec 11, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$235.09Dec 11, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$1.01Dec 11, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.01Dec 11, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.02Dec 11, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 1, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Nov 28, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$500.00Nov 28, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$500.00Nov 28, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$250.00Nov 28, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $126.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".