Red-Programme
0xda278299b3db0ac43f38da23272261bd3f444f3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.65
Total PnL
$-3.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
220 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.65
$0.55
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?
397 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will My Aurora Forecast Pro be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
280 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in November 2025?
267 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$4.04Jun 1, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in May?$3.01Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $20 in May?$5.01Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$63.43Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.02Jun 1, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.02Jun 1, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$63.31May 31, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 31, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$1.00May 30, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?$1.00May 30, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in May?$52.39May 30, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?$3.02May 30, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$4.01May 29, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in May?$52.21May 29, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$52.25May 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$51.09May 26, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in May?$3.00May 22, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.00May 21, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$57.99May 17, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$57.71May 14, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $14.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".