Downright-Pneumonia
0xda34472f1ffbbcc44bfb148f3c1c0bc82d7756ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$211.10
Total PnL
$-3.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
70 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.41
$1.15
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?
47 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.00
$0.31
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
46 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.00
$0.81
- NO
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
24 shares @ 95.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.04
$-0.77
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 95.9¢·now 89.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.83
$-1.35
- NO
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
14 shares @ 87.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.82
$-3.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$34.55Apr 23, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$29.23Apr 23, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$39.03Apr 23, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$12.18Apr 8, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$10.65Apr 8, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$33.00Apr 7, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$10.00Apr 2, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Apr 2, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$28.00Apr 2, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$35.00Apr 2, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?$19.18Mar 20, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$23.88Mar 20, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$22.81Mar 20, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$22.81Mar 20, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by March 31?$22.82Mar 20, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$10.00Mar 20, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?$11.00Mar 20, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMMarch Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?$11.00Mar 20, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$12.00Mar 20, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.