Simplistic-Passenger
0xda3493d54d5c007d76d6ea6277799a4eb05c3836
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?$20.50Jan 24, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?$14.00Jan 24, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$13.95Jan 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$14.25Jan 23, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$14.37Jan 23, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?$13.50Jan 23, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?$14.93Jan 23, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$14.10Jan 22, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?$14.96Jan 22, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$15.75Jan 20, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$16.45Jan 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$17.18Jan 19, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.46Jan 18, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.45Jan 18, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$16.41Jan 18, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $13.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 24, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.