Trusting-Yin
0xda351dbb75f15618f827e4903f4e63dc03cdbc1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$23.88
Total PnL
$-0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.79
$-0.01
- NO
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.00Jun 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$7.80Jun 27, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.10Jun 23, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$8.65May 23, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 22?$11.31May 22, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 19?$15.63May 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 22?$16.31May 22, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on May 18?$20.72May 22, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 22?$11.30May 21, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$8.04May 21, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 21?$9.30May 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 21?$9.30May 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$8.05May 21, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?$16.45May 21, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 22?$0.22May 21, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?$16.40May 21, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on May 21?$26.57May 21, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 22?$16.30May 21, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on May 22?$16.11May 21, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k?$11.13May 21, 02:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.