0xda357c2e0e81dd4283e0f18af26a20328d2d32e3
0xda357c2e0e81dd4283e0f18af26a20328d2d32e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-161.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025
341 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?
82 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$248.38Dec 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$200.00Dec 10, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Monday?$25.00Aug 8, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?$25.00Aug 8, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$0.00Jul 6, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$157.50Jul 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$50.00Jul 4, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$50.00Jul 4, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile test by June 30?$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMIranian coup attempt before July?$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran before July?$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? $0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMTrump tariffs Apple before July?$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMX data center fire confirmed arson before July?$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Thunder$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$0.00Jul 4, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Thunder$111.00Jun 23, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?$0.00Jun 22, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $43.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.