Frank-Specification
0xda35f97698382ca11bc60b731f0692659cf6b2db
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$55.55
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-35.64
Win rate
33%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?
56 shares @ 35.7¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$21.82
$1.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?
35 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$13.41
$1.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?
35 shares @ 37.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$10.54
$-2.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$9.75
$-5.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?
40 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.02
$-11.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 2?
481 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 24?
417 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?
394 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-137.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 26?
360 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 6?
350 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-33.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?$2.15Jul 4, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?$19.93Jul 4, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?$20.62Jul 4, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?$5.00Jul 4, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 5?$10.31Jul 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?$15.48Jul 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?$1.74Jul 4, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 4?$39.79Jul 4, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?$15.45Jul 4, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 4?$3.31Jul 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 4?$2.09Jul 4, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 4?$1.13Jul 4, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 4?$0.91Jul 4, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 4?$0.08Jul 4, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 4?$0.72Jul 4, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?$2.43Jul 4, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?$0.75Jul 4, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 4?$0.36Jul 4, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 4?$0.14Jul 4, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 4?$0.31Jul 4, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 21:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.