Generous-Eyelids
0xda36dfe0b7e147c12ef0c965ebe48e26efdcff0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
166
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-233.95
Realised
$-0.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 29?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 16?
1084 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on March 17?
200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 28?
100 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 20?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on March 20?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 2?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C or higher on March 16?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 5?$0.01Jun 5, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on May 30?$0.01May 30, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27?$0.01May 27, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 11?$0.20May 11, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 8?$0.29May 8, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 5?$0.05May 5, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 2?$0.50May 2, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?$0.89Apr 29, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?$0.11Apr 29, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?$0.80Apr 26, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 23?$0.97Apr 23, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 23?$1.03Apr 23, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 23, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?$5.86Apr 23, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?$1.76Apr 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 17?$1.14Apr 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 17?$0.76Apr 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17?$2.55Apr 17, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16?$5.00Apr 17, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16?$1.69Apr 16, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.