Flimsy-Apron
0xda3dc3aaac020017306f1554bafa259539fac0c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-413.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
1118 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?
405 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-116.37
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45–50 million views on day 1?
221 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45–50m million views on day 1?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will "Eddington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?
39 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Travis Scott's album 'JACKBOYS 2' have over 250k sales in its first week?
24 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?$116.37Sep 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$116.38Aug 31, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$499.90Aug 27, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$496.68Aug 20, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$200.00Aug 19, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$100.00Aug 19, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?$100.00Aug 1, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?$50.00Aug 1, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45–50m million views on day 1?$2.00Aug 1, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$5.00Aug 1, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?$100.00Aug 1, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?$5.00Aug 1, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 28?$893.08Jul 28, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon visit the Western Wall before August?$0.43Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 28?$887.72Jul 28, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMCubs vs. White Sox$0.00Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMCubs vs. White Sox$5.00Jul 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCubs vs. White Sox$4.59Jul 27, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$887.32Jul 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 27?$849.83Jul 27, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $117.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".