Defiant-Transition
0xda489e62d2bda9e60c86d9b4811c47f0c37a30fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.03
Total PnL
$-11.27
Realised
$11.58
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.03
$0.00
- YES
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
1423 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.54
- YES
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
439 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will Aurora Gaming win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
4 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
4 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out in 2025?
3 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Stuttgart win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.31Dec 21, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$0.57Dec 3, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$0.30Dec 3, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.86Dec 1, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$5.81Dec 1, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$2.46Dec 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.45Dec 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$0.29Nov 30, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.50Nov 30, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Nov 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$1.00Nov 30, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.59Nov 30, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?$3.76Nov 30, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?$6.00Nov 30, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3300 and $3400 at the end of 2025?$4.20Nov 30, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$7.00Nov 30, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ozzy Osbourne be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$0.41Nov 30, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$12.50Nov 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$2.83Nov 29, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 02:21 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.