Messy-Beating
0xda4cccba5b9e776860112f072c67a01726060183
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-339.60
Realised
$-0.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
197 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
188 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- ODD
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
186 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
169 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
165 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
164 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
160 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 16?
149 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
143 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- UDINESE CALCIO
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)
141 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMFlames vs. Red Wings$0.00Mar 17, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMFlames vs. Red Wings$179.08Mar 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlames vs. Red Wings$112.82Mar 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?$101.24Mar 16, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$11.59Mar 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?$51.06Mar 16, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Cavaliers$15.59Mar 16, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?$29.71Mar 16, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Clippers$5.76Mar 15, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$28.07Mar 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$10.00Mar 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.00Mar 15, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMADC Juan Pablo II College vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 4.5$7.20Mar 15, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill AD Tarma win on 2026-03-14?$10.67Mar 15, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMFC Rapid 1923 vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 4.5$12.56Mar 15, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMAl Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5$16.63Mar 15, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?$0.79Mar 14, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CD Coquimbo Unido (-2.5)$0.08Mar 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?$1.11Mar 14, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 3: Ends in Daytime?$0.98Mar 14, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".