Negligible-Declination
0xda4d2a955ebad25b3510d65ad0def9647849c8ee
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$23.08
Total PnL
$31.63
Realised
$68.98
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$3.75
$1.25
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.52
$-0.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1494 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$2.24
$-0.78
- CAROLINA ROYAL RAVENS
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers
2699 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.35
$-4.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2422 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.21
$-1.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
463 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 8, 2026$1.16
$-0.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
733 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.10
$-4.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season$0.7256m ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season$0.281h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season$0.801h ago
- TRADEBUYLoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season$0.181h ago
- TRADESELLLoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season$7.131h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.001h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.001h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.001h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.011h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?$0.011h ago
- TRADESELLLoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season$4.952h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$4.082h ago
- TRADESELLLoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season$3.272h ago
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers$0.102h ago
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers$0.502h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$2.072h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$8.292h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.222h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$10.372h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.232h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 56m ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".