Lone-Confirmation
0xda59c888d044ab08b8e20d6cd026d1450af630db
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$21.11
Total PnL
$-16.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
80 shares @ 0.2¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.92
$1.76
- YES
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
133 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.00
$0.73
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?
80 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.88
$0.72
- YES
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
133 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.87
$0.60
- YES
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
133 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.73
$0.47
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.65
$0.45
- YES
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.65
$0.45
- YES
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.65
$0.45
- YES
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.65
$0.45
- YES
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.65
$0.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Osasuna finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arvell Reese be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carson Beck be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Fano be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill LaNorris Sellers be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Bailey be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arch Manning be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aidan Chiles be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylen Green be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Caleb Downs be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cade Klubnik be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordyn Tyson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?$0.00Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.