Appropriate-Civilian
0xda670d9d5ea0f51569389d71442c27d872548028
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-91.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 3?
591 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 3?
513 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 4?
334 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 10?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 28?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 11?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 11?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 19?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.66Jan 14, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?$2.63Dec 14, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 13?$1.00Dec 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 13, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?$1.00Nov 4, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 4, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?$1.00Nov 4, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$1.00Nov 4, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?$1.00Nov 4, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB hit $1500 by December 31?$4.00Oct 28, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?$1.00Oct 28, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 28?$1.00Oct 28, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 28?$1.00Oct 28, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$2.00Oct 19, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 19?$1.00Oct 18, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 19?$1.00Oct 18, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 16, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gaza" 10+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$21.03Oct 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gaza" 10+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?$7.36Oct 12, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".