Candid-State
0xda6a946997af223f9b24679b2f964d9a8b744694
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$170.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?
9331 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.1K
- NO
Will SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
8624 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.9K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
4675 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-62.99
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?
3428 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-194.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
2468 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2312 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 16?
2064 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-427.62
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1254 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-148.14
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
1163 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$803.88Feb 10, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?$5.9KFeb 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$1000.00Feb 10, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$2.4KFeb 10, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$1.9KFeb 10, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$2.6KFeb 10, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$7.9KFeb 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$7.9KFeb 10, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?$6.1KFeb 10, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$50.00Feb 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 10?$50.00Feb 10, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$20.00Feb 9, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?$6.2KFeb 9, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?$6.0KFeb 9, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$50.00Feb 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on February 9?$6.1KFeb 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on February 9?$6.1KFeb 9, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 9?$100.00Feb 9, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?$5.00Feb 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$1.4KFeb 9, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".