Clueless-Pie
0xda6b3099a815371d7713db81f9e57485d8aea403
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
185
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.5K
Realised
$-12.1K
Win rate
18%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 185- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1838351 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1304024 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
285881 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?
108860 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?
101791 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?
97760 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?
83948 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?
76402 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
70001 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-317.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?
68247 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.05May 26, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.15May 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.00May 26, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.10May 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$0.11May 26, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$1.12May 26, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$4.24May 26, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$99.88May 26, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$62.36May 26, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$24.90May 26, 03:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.60May 26, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$8.09May 25, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?$45.01May 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$44.89May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?$5.31May 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?$1.40May 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?$17.07May 25, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?$24.81May 25, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$49.40May 25, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?$12.10May 25, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $34.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 07:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.