Curly-Thought
0xda6b7ce822e6e3ee56d8518e2cdaf2aaf5a5bffb
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-208.23
Realised
$-7.43
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
2621 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?
1030 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.20
- NO
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 23?
178 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
170 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
142 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 2, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$1.00Mar 31, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2026-03-31?$1.00Mar 31, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?$1.00Mar 31, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2026-03-31?$5.00Mar 31, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?$10.00Mar 31, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win on 2026-03-31?$7.63Mar 31, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-03-31?$2.65Mar 31, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?$5.00Mar 31, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2026-03-31?$19.00Mar 31, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.10Mar 31, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$0.97Mar 31, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$3.33Mar 31, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping divorce before 2027?$5.82Mar 31, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$8.75Mar 31, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$14.51Mar 31, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$10.65Mar 31, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.49Mar 31, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.00Mar 31, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$8.27Mar 31, 18:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".