0xda87bcd581376f735b1535c0804712e495aa3414
0xda87bcd581376f735b1535c0804712e495aa3414
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-754.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
51304 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-199.93
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
6321 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?
1250 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
910 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
352 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?$50.00Sep 9, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$100.00Aug 26, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Walz say "Valor" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 25, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump mentioned fewer than 20 times at the DNC on day 4?$0.00Aug 25, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 25, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 25, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hunter Biden speak at the DNC?$0.00Aug 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$100.00Aug 25, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump mentioned fewer than 20 times at the DNC on day 4?$2.00Aug 22, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump mentioned fewer than 20 times at the DNC on day 4?$0.00Aug 22, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Obama say "Donald Trump" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 21, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Obama say "Pelosi" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 21, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?$76.36Aug 20, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Walz say "Valor" at DNC speech?$10.00Aug 20, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Obama say "Donald Trump" at DNC speech?$25.00Aug 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Obama say "Pelosi" at DNC speech?$40.00Aug 20, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jill Biden speak at the DNC?$0.00Aug 20, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hillary Clinton say "Email" at DNC speech?$0.00Aug 20, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$350.00Aug 19, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut in August?$8.58Aug 19, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $60.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 19:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".