Third-Handball
0xda885bdeef3465e891eddd2c852765ee58ce4d48
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$11.06
Total PnL
$-1.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.75
$0.75
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
6 shares @ 89.7¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Negative GDP growth in 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $415?$6.25Mar 13, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $440?$10.20Mar 13, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $415?$5.00Mar 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $440?$10.00Mar 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.00Mar 4, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$5.00Mar 4, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.86Mar 4, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$3.41Mar 4, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$7.14Mar 4, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$7.00Oct 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$2.00Oct 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2025?$1.00Oct 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?$3.00Oct 19, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?$2.03Oct 19, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?$2.07Oct 19, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?$2.15Oct 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?$2.00Jun 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27?$2.00Jun 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?$2.00Jun 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?$2.00Jun 20, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $21.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.