Confused-Fallacy
0xda918235a7d333355a025c5c255e3d8e6e74ca82
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-36.41
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
7680 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
4615 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
2623 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2484 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
841 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
549 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
215 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
180 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-123.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
152 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.13Mar 31, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$539.11Mar 31, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$499.97Mar 31, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$11.73Mar 31, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$100.00Mar 28, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$25.00Mar 28, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$9.28Mar 28, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$9.00Mar 28, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$33.47Mar 28, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$25.00Mar 28, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$16.81Mar 28, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$10.00Mar 28, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$22.91Mar 28, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$11.00Mar 28, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.00Mar 28, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.37Mar 28, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.00Mar 28, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $86.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 12:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".