Robust-Coincidence
0xda924eca03f45ddafe1b59ce3fc95e3557776969
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.87
Total PnL
$-6.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$3.87
$0.27
- YES
Will Kimmel say "Trump" 10+ times during return show on September 23?
9 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by October 31?$3.00Oct 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?$3.60Oct 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$4.00Sep 30, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLHouthi strike on Israel by October 15?$1.84Sep 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by October 15?$4.00Sep 25, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimmel say "Trump" 10+ times during return show on September 23?$5.20Sep 23, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 23, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 12, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".