0xda9785df4aa42d98892d138add0853259ad23584
0xda9785df4aa42d98892d138add0853259ad23584
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$134.99
Total PnL
$17.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?
27 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.49
$2.49
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.74
$1.74
- NO
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
21 shares @ 72.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.75
$5.75
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
19 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.23
$4.23
- NO
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
17 shares @ 86.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.40
$2.40
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.20
$2.20
- NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model before July?$2.04Aug 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$11.11Aug 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?$16.37Aug 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before July?$20.56Aug 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel annex Lebanese territory before July? $22.41Aug 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine join NATO before July?$26.15Aug 4, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$45.10Aug 4, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$94.07Jun 24, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$86.29Jun 24, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$85.83Jun 22, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before August?$19.23Jun 22, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?$21.28Jun 22, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?$45.79Jun 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military action against Iran before July?$85.83Jun 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$58.43Jun 17, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$10.00Jun 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$40.00Jun 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$10.00Jun 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$10.00Jun 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$10.00Jun 17, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $27.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.