Negative-Tadpole
0xdaaee9485822abc81168e0f20b907400d074ee3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-522.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
374 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-116.23
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
270 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-199.80
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?
150 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.95
- YES
Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's TeamWater livestream last less than 6 hours?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?$37.00Jan 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$69.46Oct 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$0.54Oct 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$199.80Oct 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$57.60Oct 10, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?$51.00Oct 9, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$49.95Oct 9, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic$24.60Sep 27, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic$34.90Sep 27, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic$49.30Sep 27, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GEN vs. T1$27.00Sep 21, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GEN vs. T1$100.00Sep 21, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: GEN vs. T1$50.00Sep 21, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: GEN vs. T1$50.00Sep 21, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$76.19Aug 29, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$14.81Aug 28, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$34.92Aug 28, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$10.08Aug 28, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$45.50Aug 28, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$0.60Aug 25, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $43.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 20:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".