Bright-Irony
0xdab7233723666cdc704115a294d6f931e610b36c
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.69
Total PnL
$-68.93
Realised
$-29.35
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
189 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
9 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
9 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
6 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
6 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
5 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
5 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
3 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
2 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.03Aug 12, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.04Jul 24, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Jul 24, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.69Jul 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00Jul 19, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.01Jul 19, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Jul 19, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.01Jul 19, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.00Jul 19, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 19, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.07Mar 21, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.75Mar 21, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.37Mar 21, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.01Mar 21, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.00Mar 21, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.