0xdab9724154dd819ccd5dd2ee433148f56f11cdfc
0xdab9724154dd819ccd5dd2ee433148f56f11cdfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$81.97
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$-2.5K
Win rate
0%
96 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
49 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$49.18
$19.18
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$32.79
$12.79
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
633 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-445.52
- YES
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-19?
305 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- BULLS
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)
275 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
204 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.23
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
187 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-63.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
183 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-55.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
180 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-67.11
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
174 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-27.88
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 96 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
96 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 96 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.