Likely-Estate
0xdabbc9ee0c85078da1b382c9e0491483396ddcbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.81
Total PnL
$-1.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 13-20?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?
1 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump tweet 30-39 times September 13-20?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 175-199 times?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 30-39 times September 13-20?$1.00Sep 19, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 15-19 times September 13-20?$1.00Sep 19, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300 or more times?$1.00Sep 19, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 275-299 times?$1.00Sep 19, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 175-199 times?$1.00Sep 19, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?$1.02Sep 19, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?$1.03Sep 19, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 50-59 times this week?$1.05Sep 19, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 45-49 times this week?$1.08Sep 19, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 50-59 times this week?$1.00Sep 9, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 45-49 times this week?$1.00Sep 9, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEM'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day? $1.00Sep 9, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 160-179 times?$1.01Sep 9, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 180 or more times?$1.01Sep 9, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend?$1.00Sep 3, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?$1.00Sep 3, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180 or more times?$1.00Sep 3, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 160-179 times?$1.00Sep 3, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 100-109 times?$1.00Sep 3, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 120-129 times?$1.00Sep 3, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 19, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".