Grounded-Threshold
0xdabed9a2ad643d9b3f2a82b64c392a4352b12d5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.48
Total PnL
$0.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
2 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$2.12
$0.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.18
$0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.09
$0.04
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 5?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.04
$0.01
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 88.8¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$1.00Jun 5, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$1.02Jun 5, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5?$1.05Jun 5, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.00Jun 5, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 5?$1.00Jun 5, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 5?$1.03Jun 5, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$1.06Jun 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$1.06Jun 5, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?$1.10Jun 5, 07:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$36.00May 19, 16:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $14.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".