Ethical-Downstairs
0xdac4bb54a20a8a7222cec88e386c453efd4431d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$31.14
Total PnL
$0.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$5.53
$0.03
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
4 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$4.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
3 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.42
$0.12
- NO
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.35
$0.05
- NO
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
2 shares @ 89.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.68
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Raymond Burke be the next pope?$3.30Apr 27, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wim Eijk be the next pope?$3.00Apr 27, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$4.00Apr 27, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$5.50Apr 27, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.35Apr 27, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?$12.54Apr 27, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$10.00Mar 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?$3.30Mar 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$1.50Mar 22, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be 30°F or below on February 14?$1.00Mar 22, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.02Mar 22, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Democrats win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$8.02Mar 22, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be 30°F or below on February 14?$1.00Feb 13, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Democrats win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$8.00Feb 13, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Will Levi be Trump's Attorney General?$1.12Feb 13, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Bailey be Trump's Attorney General?$1.29Feb 13, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?$1.39Feb 13, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?$12.50Jan 26, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$5.00Jan 26, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$1.10Jan 26, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $422.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.